Developing cyber-policy and infrastructure is a crucial task that requires careful consideration of both the benefits and risks associated with cyber technology. However, one of the challenges in this area is the “short arm” of predictive knowledge, which refers to the difficulty of predicting the future impact of new and emerging technologies. Given this challenge, it is essential to adopt a proactive and adaptive approach to cyber-policy and infrastructure development.

To approach this challenge is to focus on the principles and values that should underpin cyber-policy and infrastructure development. This can include principles such as transparency, accountability, and user empowerment. By focusing on these principles, policymakers can develop a framework that can adapt to the rapid pace of technological change while still ensuring that the interests of all stakeholders are protected.

Another way to address the “short arm” of predictive knowledge is to foster collaboration and information-sharing among stakeholders. This can include industry, government, civil society, and academia. By working together, these stakeholders can share information about emerging threats and vulnerabilities, as well as best practices for mitigating cyber risks. This can help to build a more comprehensive understanding of the risks associated with new and emerging technologies and develop effective strategies for addressing these risks.

Additionally, it is essential to invest in research and development to stay ahead of cyber threats. By investing in research and development, policymakers can better understand the potential impacts of new and emerging technologies, as well as develop new tools and techniques for mitigating risks. This can include research into new encryption and authentication methods, as well as the development of new cyber-defense technologies.